Bloomberg Surveillance

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, thinks President Trump's mercantilist approach to trade is off. Bill Schneider, George Mason University Professor & Political Analyst, says the flavor of populism is resentment of elites. Patricia Laya, Venezuela Bureau Chief, says many of the voting centers in Venezuela were empty yesterday. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, joins us to talk the new $78,000 price tag on Tesla's Model 3. 

Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, & Enda Curran, Bloomberg's Chief Asia Economics Correspondent, discuss the impact of President Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Vice President of New York & Head of Currency, says a trade war is not easy to win and it is not desirable. Francine Lacqua, Bloomberg Surveillance TV Anchor & Editor at Large, joins us from Rome to report on the general elections this coming Sunday. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor & Nobel Laureate, says the new tariffs are one of the most reckless policies that one can imagine.

Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she wants companies to make growth generative investments, not just investments to appease outsiders. Hans Humes, GreyLock Capital Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, says Venezuela is a kleptocracy at this point. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Publisher, discusses his cryptocurrency bet in his retirement account. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Co-Founder, says an Apple-Tesla combo makes sense but it's a fairy tale that is never going to happen.

Barry Eichengreen, Author & University of California Berkeley Professor, provides his definition of populism: anti-elite, anti-authoritarian, and anti-other. Coronado, President & Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says core goods prices really aren't showing the strength that they've been wanting to see. Mark McCormick, TD Bank Head: FX Strategy North America, says this is a tricky time for emerging markets. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Senior Research & Staples Analyst, notes geography matters for the food industry. 

Julian Lee, Bloomberg Oil Strategist, and Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, join us to discuss oil touching $80/barrel for the first time since 2014. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says the latest trade spat within the White House administration is emblematic of the deeper fissures in Washington. Federico Santi, Eurasia Group Associate, says the new Italian government is likely to set up a challenge for the European Union. Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Latin America Economic Research, says the IMF cannot solve underlying debt problems in EM countries. 

Michael Spence, Nobel Laureate & NYU Professor of Economics & Business, says models don't work in crisis, but experience does. David Riley, Bluebay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the resurgence in the U.S. dollar is the pain trade for markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior FX Strategist, thinks the consensus short dollar position for 2018 is capitulating. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Executive Director of Equity Research, says China cannot rely on U.S. Technology in the long term. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Television & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, finds its hard to say that these congressional investigations aren't political at this point.

Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Television, recaps his exclusive interview with Turkey's Prime Minister Erdogan. *AND*  Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of Emerging Markets Strategy, says (if) Turkey's central bank fails to 'step in' crisis could reach a tipping point. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Senior Economist, says that this morning's data suggests that Q2 is going to be the comeback kid that we hoped it would be. Ryan Prete, Bloomberg Government State Tax Reporter, says that after yesterday's sports betting ruling, states will want to take steps to ensure they get a piece of this untapped profit. Brooke Lampley, Sotheby's Fine Art Division Vice Chairman, discusses the importance of the collector in creating context after Sotheby's $157M sale of a Modigliani nude. 

Michael Purves, Weeden & Co. Chief Global Strategist & Head of Equity Derivatives, says you can't be dismissive of higher interest rates in the volatility story. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior VP & Policy Analyst, has noticed a lot of empty offices in D.C. government agencies. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, joins us to wrap sound from our interview with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and discuss eco data. Jonathan Ferziger, Bloomberg Middle East Politics Reporter, reports from Israel on the the U.S. Embassy move from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.  

Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says 4% on the 10-year is a bit of a moonshot. Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg News State Department Reporter, and Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow Middle East, join us to provide insight on the escalating tensions between Israel, Iran, Russia, and Syria. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says tech will be the best performing sector at the end of this year. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the tax cut was pretty negligible.

Bloomberg's Nejra Cehic takes us through the BOE headlines live from Threadneedle Street. Paul Tucker, Former Deputy BOE Governor and Author of 'Unelected Power,' believes that Central Bankers are becoming the poster boys & girls of people making decisions that we didn't elect. James Donald, Lazard Asset Management Head of Emerging Markets and Portfolio Manager, discusses the difficulty of navigating Emerging Markets in the current climate. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, says that beyond negotiations with North Korea, the long-term for both Washington & Beijing is in the economics sphere.

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, ponders whether or not the Democrats have a game plan. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, says everybody and their sister is long emerging markets. Tom Petrie, Petrie Partners Chairman, thinks Iran may have trouble bulking up their technology for greater oil production. Michael Hayden, Former CIA Director, says the president and the administration have yet to articulate Plan B for U.S.-Iran relations. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News Reporter, joins us to review her Deutsche Bank scoop.

Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says the Fed has always been a critical player in the evolution of financial conditions. Jacques Rousseau, Clearview Energy Partners Managing Director of Global Oil & Gas, says Venezuela has taken more oil off the market than Saudi Arabia. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow of Government Studies, says all eyes are on West Virginia for the midterm primaries. Barbara Whye, Intel Corporation Chief Diversity & Inclusion Officer and VP of Human Resources, says their goal is to increase their initiatives in creating a more equal workplace. 

Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says there was a shocking shift in global trade flows in January. Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Senate Candidate (R) & WV Attorney General, says West Virginians are very supportive of the president. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, predicts wages will pick up. Jamie Metzl, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, questions if North Korea has any real intentions of giving up their nuclear weapons.

Marty Feldstein, Harvard University Professor of Economics, is not happy about a trillion dollar deficit. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor & Fmr. Chairman of President Barack Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, says the White House hasn't followed through on addressing the opioid crisis. Coronado, President & Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says we still want to see wage growth climb higher. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Fmr. Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, briefs us on how tax policy affects families. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says over time, U.S. exports should skyrocket due to the administration's trade policies.

Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Securities Chief Economist, says traditionally, people have viewed a 2% inflation target as being lopsided. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Director for Asia Studies & Author of "The Third Revolution: Xi Jinping and the New Chinese State", is surprised by how transformative Xi Jinping has been in the past 5 years. Kate Warne, Edward Jones Investments Chief Market Strategist, predicts inflation will stay contained. Shannon Cross, Cross Research Managing Director & Co-Founder, thinks Apple's best product is the AirPods. 

Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of G-10 FX Strategy, says to not get too obsessed with the Fed funds rate. Angelo Zino, CFRA Analyst, says iPhones are no longer the only story for Apple.Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Financial Chief Economist, says inflation has not shown strong, upward momentum. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Publisher, says the Fed has already won its battle with 2% inflation. 

Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says over time, we are likely to be in a stable or weaker dollar environment. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the strategist in her is worried about how financial conditions will tighten. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Analyst, says consumers are very loyal to Apple's brand. Christyan Malek, JPMorgan Head of the EMEA Oil & Gas Equity Research, sees a new BP in their 1Q earnings. 

Peter Henry, Former NYU Stern School of Business Dean, predicts growth next year will taper off.  Robert D. Kaplan, 'The Return of Marco Polo's World' Author, says Trump signifies a return to a more traditional form of world history. James Stavridis, Dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says China is not reaching for global hegemony but regional control. Sara Sanatore, Sanford Bernstein Senior Research analyst, says the more premium products at McDonald's is working for business. 

Peter Pae, Bloomberg News Seoul Bureau Chief. Bill Rhodes, Former Citi Senior Vice Chairman & William R. Rhodes Global Advisors President & CEO. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Krishna Memani, Oppenheimer Funds Chief Investment Officer & Head of Fixed Income. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President,

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Chief U.S. Economist, says he has a hard time imagining a scenario where the Fed would do 5 rate hikes. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, is worried about what's happening in Eastern Europe. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Chief Emerging Markets Economist, says the European economy seems to have lost some steam. Timothy L. O'Brien, Bloomberg Gadfly & Bloomberg View Executive Editor, says on a day to day basis, we need to adhere to the facts when it comes to Mueller's investigation and Michael Cohen.