Bloomberg Surveillance

Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank Chief International Economist, asks what the Chinese retaliation may look like against U.S. tariffs. Vince Reinhart, Standish Chief Economist and Investment Strategist, thinks the Fed may have a problem knowing when to stop hiking rates. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Bernard L. Schwartz Senior Fellow, says the U.S. is on the verge of a trade war with all of its trading partners. And Suzanne Tager, Bain & Company's Retail and Consumer Products Practices Senior Director, says retail stores are not dead but their role has changed.

Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, says the Chinese economy has opened up quite dramatically. Doug Peebles, AB CIO of Fixed Income, says investment grade average credit quality has never been as low as it is right now. Carlos Gutierrez, Former U.S. Commerce Secretary, thinks the current immigration policy is not good for the U.S. And Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of North American Research, updates us on media mergers.

William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says the U.S. is going to be the engine of growth for the global economy. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, ponders if U.S. trade policy is going to mimic the Iran or the Korea model. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, says the curve is still the single best indicator for a recession. And Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner, says historically, Comcast is not comfortable with large amounts of debt.

Robert Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Securities Global Strategist, says the current U.S. administration has done a lot to stimulate the economy. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior Currency Analyst, thinks many central bankers are assuming that wage inflation will rise.Richard Greenfield, BTIG Media and Technology Analyst, says changes in consumer behavior are spurring rapid consolidation in media. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, predicts we'll see more media transactions of size getting done quickly. 

Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, advises to be careful about the noise around headline CPI.  Ian Whittaker, Liberum Head of European Media Research, analyzes the AT&T-Time Warner deal approval. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says we could be talking about an inverted yield curve by the end of the year. Eli Lake, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks Kim Jong Un is a monster. 

Daniel Ten Kate, Bloomberg News Asia Government Managing Editor, and Lisa Collins, Center For Strategic & International Studies Korea Chair, discuss the historic summit between the U.S. and North Korea.Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Trading Strategy, says political risk in the U.S. is still muted compared to risk in other countries. Kathy Moon, The Brookings Institution Center for East Asia Policy Studies Senior Fellow, thinks members of Congress will want more clarification about what President Trump and North Korea's Kim discussed. Jose Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary-General, says North Korea has the potential to compliment South Korea and the whole world's economy. 

Toluse Olorunnipa, Bloomberg Washington Correspondent, updates us on the Trump-Kim Summit in Singapore. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, says the consumer is really strong right now. Charles Armstrong, Columbia University Korea Foundation Professor, says North Koreans are tough negotiators.Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says the ECB rate decisions are a bigger question mark than the Fed's.  Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice Chairman, says North Korea doesn't occupy a great part of the market's attention. 

Andrew Barden,Bloomberg's European Government Reporter, joins us from the G-7 in Quebec to preview the geopolitical tension ahead. Gabriela Santos, JPM Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says EM as a whole is a more resilient picture than the recent headlines. Steven Major, HSBC Managing Director & Global Head of Fixed Income Research, imagines two more rate hikes will be enough for the Fed. Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, thinks the G-7 should focus in on a narrow G-3. And a special segment with Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, on the Stanley Cup. 

David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Global Head of Investments, says Brazil is early in its economic recovery. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, thinks currencies are doing what they're supposed to do as shock absorbers. Steve Keen, Kingston University Professor, says the vibrant stage of American capitalism was the forties to the sixties.Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, says the complexion of the market seems to be changing. 

Tobias Levkovich, Citi Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says investors don't have great conviction in their positions in Europe. John Taft, Baird Vice Chairman, compares how business is done in New York versus how it's done in the Heartland. Shannon O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow of Latin American Studies, says Brazil has been looking elsewhere for growth since the U.S. is closing off.  Ken Auletta, "Frenemies" Author, reminisces about his time on Bobby Kennedy's presidential campaign. 

John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist, says views on trade have regressed to the 17th century. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court Reporter, joins to discuss SCOTUS rulings.  Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner & Analyst, says Apple makes their money on selling hardware, not on data. Adena Friedman, NASDAQ CEO, thinks European investors are being sanguine in light of heightened trade tensions. 

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, expects growth to continue...with some caveats.Federico Santi, Eurasia Group Analyst, suspects things will get worse in Italy before they get better.Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the current U.S. administration's trade policy is not capitalist, Republican, or pro-growth. Robert D. Kaplan, Author of "The Return of Marco Polo's World" & Center for a New American Security Senior Fellow, says a trade war is merely an aspect of a world at amoral geopolitical competition. 

Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says we're not yet at full employment. Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow & Author of "Failure To Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind In The Global Economy," defines a trade war as tit for tat tariff retaliation outside the rules of the trading system. Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg's EMEA Finance & Investing ME, updates us on political events in Italy. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, defends his strategy that was widely criticized earlier this week. Alan Krueger, Princeton Professor & Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman under President Obama, recaps his routine when he previewed jobs numbers for the White House. Jason Furman, Harvard Professor & Former White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the biggest constraint on U.S. wage growth is its lack of productivity growth. 

Luigi Zingales, Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, thinks people underestimate how devastated Italy is by its economic situation.Donald Straszheim, Evercore ISI Head of China Research, thinks China sees Washington as unreliable and untrustworthy.Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says small cap stocks have outperformed tremendously.Catherine Mann, Citi Research Global Chief Economist, advises we can't be protectionist on the side of trade and welcome international capital flows. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Analyst, jumps on the phone to review the latest Deutsche Bank news. 

Paul Donovan, UBS Chief Economist, says by and large, Europe has emerged from the recession but there are persisting problems. Sony Kapoor, Re-Define Managing Director, says far too many Euro-related policies are driven by Germany's economic weight. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Managing Director & Chief Economist, says the Fed does not want to be in the headlines for rising inequality in the U.S. Michael Feroli, JP Morgan Securities Chief U.S. Economist, is unsure of where we are in the business cycle but think it's safe to say we're not early in it. 

Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says his EM view has changed quite a bit in the past few months.Stefan Selig, BridgePark Advisors Managing Partner & Former Under-Secretary of Commerce for International Trade, says it makes no sense to think of our trade deficit as a scorecard. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, says there's certainly a risk that the dollar continues to rise.Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, is concerned about the accumulation of debt in the U.S. economy.

Christian Schulz, Citi Economics Team Director, says there's plenty of reasons to believe Spanish has become a semi-core Eurozone country. Thomas Byrne, Korean Society President & Columbia University SIPA Professor, says North Korea is a black box but thinks their economy is in trouble. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, and Michael McKee, Bloomberg's International Economic & Policy Correspondent, review the U.S. economy. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, says there is no unified message on trade from the Republican or Democratic parties. 

Richard Bravo, Bloomberg News EU Government Editor, and Julian Jessop, Institute of Economic Affairs Chief Economist, talk Europe's confusion over the U.S. administration's mercurial trade policy. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Banks Analyst, wraps the Deutsche Bank Shareholder Meeting earlier today.Geoff Dennis, UBS Investment Bank Head of Global Emerging Markets, says the dollar will go back down eventually and that will change sentiment for EM. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Senior Retail Analyst & Managing Director, suggests Target should increase their food offerings to stay afloat. Craig Gordon, Bloomberg News Washington Bureau Chief, jumps on the phone to talk the breaking headlines: President Trump has cancelled his summit with North Korea's Kim 

Hans Redeker, Global Head of FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley, gives us an overview of dollar strength and the slump in Turkish lira.  Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Policy Research Managing Director, says the new Dodd-Frank legislation is a modest, narrowly-tailored bill. Don Gimbel, Geneva Advisors Portfolio Manager, predicts there's a couple of years left in this economic cycle. Nabila Ahmed, Bloomberg News Deals Reporter, says Comcast is one of the most indebted American companies. 

Bill Blain, Mint Partners Fixed Income Strategist & Head of Capital Markets, says he's positive about the U.S.-China trade riffs in the long-term. Tim Armstrong, Oath Inc. CEO, says consumers are flocking to quality content right now. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, offers Facebook some advice: be more transparent. Poonam Goyal, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, reviews Marvin Ellison's run as CEO at J.C. Penney per the announcement he's headed to Lowe's.