Bloomberg Surveillance

Admiral Stavridis, The Fletcher School at Tufts University Dean, says President Trump threw U.S. intelligence under the bus in Helsinki. Ian Whittaker, Liberum Media Analyst, notes that Netflix's disappointing results only represent one quarter. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, says despite escalating tariff threats, EM funds with exposure to China are doing just fine. Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, provides an update on Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation. 

Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chairman, sees the Helsinki Summit as an opportunity for President Trump to take "a leadership role" in global issues. Charly Salonius-Pasternak, Senior Research Fellow of the Global Security Research Program at the Finnish Institute for International Affairs, highlights that U.S. global military and trade power is dependent on its alliance networks. George Friedman, GeoPolitical Futures Chairman, says that a great deal of what Russia does is a "bluff." Chris Granville, TS Lombard Managing Director of EMEA & Global Political Research, talks about the importance of smaller countries such as Finland in Brexit negotiations with the European Union.

Anthony Gardner, Former U.S. Ambassador to the EU, says it is unprecedented that a U.S. president interferes in U.K. Politics. Alex Wayne, Bloomberg News White House Editor, talks about how President Trump's relationship with the media has changed over the past year. Peter Westmacott, Former U.K. Ambassador to the U.S., says that the Trump-May meeting shows President Trump's preference for bilateral agreements instead of multilateral organizations. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief White House Correspondent, discusses how the relationship between the U.S. and U.K. has evolved in the Trump era.

Tina Fordham, Citi Chief Global Political Analyst, says President Trump wants to change the international order. Mickey Levy, Berenberg Chief Economist U.S. & Asia, observes that countries are dependent on each other for trade and that they will ultimately be willing to negotiate. Jacob Parakilas, Chatham House U.S. & the Americas Programme Deputy Head, discusses NATO.  Victoria Hewson, Institute of Economic Affairs Senior Counsel, talks about Britain's negotiating position with the EU. 

Steve Wieting, Citigroup Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, observes how trade tariffs will impact equity markets. Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, says he will have his eyes on President Trump's breakfast with NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg. Brian Wieser, Pivotal Research Group Senior Analyst, discusses the role that advertising plays at various companies. Kate Warne, Edward Jones Investment Strategist, says businesses are growing by taking advantage of trending cloud computing.

Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs Professor & Special Advisor to the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, says that Brexiteers sold a utopian view and now they cannot deliver. Ken Starr, Former Special Counsel, shares his views on new SCOTUS Justice Brett Kavanaugh. Daniel Kawczynski, Conservative Member of U.K. Parliament for Shrewsbury and Atcham, says that no country has ever successfully negotiated pulling out of the EU. Charles Kupchan, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, argues that Putin wants a weaker West. 

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says she can't remember a time when politics mattered so much for the global economy. Brian Klaas, LSE Professor & Author "The Despot's Apprentice," discusses whether or not President Trump will make serious concessions with Russian President Putin this week. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-In-Chief Emeritus, says to think of Amazon as a value stock. Greg Stohr, Supreme Court Reporter, looks ahead to President Trump's SCOTUS Justice pick (planned for 9 p.m. ET).

Noah Feldman, Harvard Law professor and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, on Justice Kennedy's legacy and what to expect from a newly shaped Supreme Court. Clay Lowery, Managing Director at Rock Creek Global Advisors and former Assistant Secretary for International Affairs at the US Treasury Department, on how businesses are reacting to trade war threats.Felix Gillette, writer for Bloomberg Businessweek, on Nintendo's quest to stay alive. Michael Rea, pharmacist, founder and CEO of Rx Savings Solutions, on how drug pricing and the pharmacy landscape will be impacted by Amazon buying PillPack.

Conrad DeQuadros, RDQ Economics Senior Economist & Founding Partner, has his eye on supply chains amid heightened trade tensions. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, says the state of the labor market is far from perfect. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor and Former U.S. Department of Labor Chief Economist, says workers are finding "side hustles" in order to sustain themselves. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chair, says the labor market is strong. 

Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why his forward looking concerns are plentiful. Robert D. Kaplan, Eurasia Group Senior Advisor and Center for a New American Security Fellow, observes that world leaders do not know how to analyze and predict President Trump ahead of his visit to Europe next week. Benn Steil, CFR Senior Fellow and Director of International Economics, says Russia is ratcheting up its actions on NATO's borders. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, discusses how the U.S. could de-escalate and avoid a major trade war. 

In celebration of July 4th, Tom Keene and Pimm Fox speak to historians and authors Russell Shorto and Gordon Wood on Shorto's newest book, "Revolution Song: A Story of American Freedom." 

Seth Masters, Former CIO of Bernstein, talks trade frictions between the U.S. and China. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Market Analyst, observes that oil demand growth will start to slow down next year. Carlos Petersen, Eurasia Group Latin America Analyst, examines top priorities of Mexico's new leader Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. Tasha Keeney, ARK Analyst, talks Tesla and their overlooked strategy to become an auto industry leader. 

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, argues that Europe should take steps to respond to the trade provocations from the U.S. Tom Petrie, Petrie Partners Chairman, says the use of new technologies in the oil industry are a response to global demand growth. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, discusses President Trump's race to pick a Supreme Court justice. Julian Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, notes that as long as earnings go up, the market will go up.

Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she expects quite strong earnings across a huge variety of sectors in the second quarter. David Woo, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Rates, says he's bullish about the U.S. economy. Travis Lenkner, Keller Lenkner Managing Partner, says Gorsuch and Kavanaugh are similar candidates for the Supreme Court seat. Dr. Christopher Smart, Barings Head of Global Macro and Geopolitical Research, discusses the strained relationship between the U.S. and Russia.

Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg News EMEA Finance & Investing Managing Editor, says margins will remain very thin in Europe for the foreseeable future. Stephen Roach, Yale University Senior Lecturer, says the Trump administration is looking for President Xi to capitulate on his core strategy of innovation, industrial policy, and pan regional leadership. Noah Feldman, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, and Greg Stohr, Bloomberg Supreme Court Reporter, join to update us on yesterday's Supreme Court decisions. 

Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, says the economy is strong and they're advising their clients to maintain their allocations. Robert Shiller, Yale Sterling Professor of Economics and Nobel Laureate, observes that the U.S. has a big international diplomacy problem. David Goldman, Macrostrategy President, proposes the U.S. should organize a systematic brain drain by bringing the best tech professionals from China to the U.S. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, thinks the dollar is very strong. 

Enda Curran, Bloomberg News Chief Asia Correspondent, says the U.S. is going to step up its scrutiny of Chinese investment in the U.S. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Executive Vice President & Market Strategist, predicts that the global economy will grow about $95 trillion this year. Geoff Dennis, UBS Head of Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy, says that dollar euro is the best indicator of dollar strength in emerging markets. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Vice Chairman, thinks that President Trump and Xi have a very good working relationship. Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Industrials Analyst, joins to recap headlines that General Electric is selling its distributed power unit to Advent. 

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says uncertainty about the tariff war is proving to be painful. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Head of Investment and Portfolio Strategies, advises her clients to have the maximum level of diversification in equity markets. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Oil Analyst and Managing Director, observes the global economy is stronger than people appreciate. And Brad DeLong, UC Berkeley Professor of Economics, says the 21st century won't be an American century if President Trump's trade and immigration policies continue.                        

Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says there are no data which support a BOE rate hike. Wilbur Ross, U.S. Secretary of Commerce, thinks finding workers is the biggest problem for American industry. Daniel Yergin, IHS Markit Vice Chairman, says labor in many markets is very tight. And Susan Lund, McKinsey Global Institute Director of Research, observes corporate debt has tripled in size since the financial crisis.

Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says a trade war could lead to a stronger dollar. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Senior Fellow & Author of "The Third Revolution", says tariffs are good for shock value but past that, they don't do much. And Bloomberg's Senior Executive Editor for Economics Stephanie Flanders hosts a panel of central bankers in Sintra, Portugal. We hear from ECB President Mario Draghi and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.