Bloomberg Surveillance

We start off on a segment from our TV show with Ken Rogoff, Harvard Professor & Former IMF Chief Economist, and Mariana Mazzucato, University College London Professor & Author of "The Value of Everything." Following, Jim Roemer, Best Weather Inc. President, predicts Hurricane Florence will impact stocks more than commodities. Next, Steve Auth, Federated Investors Equities CIO, says tech companies are the new monopolies. And William Dudley, Former New York Fed Chairman, tells Bloomberg's Michael McKee that he's concerned about the fiscal sustainability of the U.S.

William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says firms are substituting capital for labor. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Research Analyst & Managing Director, says electronic companies have high profit margins and they can use these to avoid price increases from tariffs. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management, says the Fed is very transparent in what they are doing. And Thomas Kean, 9/11 Commission Chairman & Former New Jersey Governor, reflects on September 11, 2001

Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, predicts if Democrats take the house at midterms, it will not upset the markets. Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Chief U.S. Economist, recaps Friday's jobs numbers. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, has her eye on market growth in Asia. And Nomi Prins, Author of "Collusion: How Central Bankers Rigged the World", says the dollar tends to be the recipient in the Great Unwind.

Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Head of Interest Strategy, says the potential of job reports to move the markets has decreased dramatically. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor & Former Assistant Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, remembers he told President Obama this wouldn't be the strongest recovery but it could be the longest. James Glassman, JP Morgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, and Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, react to the jobs number in real time. And Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief EM Credit Strategist, says what initially drew foreign investors to EM is the scope in which central banks could ease rates.

Lisa Abramowicz fills in for Tom Keene today. We speak with Tim Ash, Bluebay Asset Management Senior EM Sovereign Strategist, who says EM is a big part of the global economy and it cannot be ignored. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, says we are catching up on regulations for the Internet. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington Correspondent, provides an update on the White House's search for the anonymous NYT Op-Ed writer. We also feature a segment from our TV show with Anchor Scarlet Fu and Bloomberg Tech Reporter Sarah Frier. And Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Management Managing Director & Co-Founder, provides details on Google's absence at the Hill Hearings yesterday. 

Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies & Partner, says the Turkish lira has been hurt by outflows from investors. John Taft, Baird Vice Chairman, analyzes risks in the shadow banking system. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, suspects Jack Dorsey and Sheryl Sandberg will be more contrite than previous representatives from their companies. And Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, reviews U.S. eco data with Tom and Jon.

Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, thinks volatility in EM currencies is mostly due to domestic policy mistakes. Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Co-Founder & COO, says emerging markets are sensitive to the deceleration of global industrial growth. George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Research, talks dollar strength. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court Reporter, does not expect any surprises from the U.S. Supreme Court confirmation hearings of Brett Kavanaugh. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors CIO & Co-Founder, says hateful belligerency accomplishes nothing in politics.                    

Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Applied Economics, says Argentina has been "a complete disaster" since President Macri called the IMF. President Trump says EU offer for no auto tariffs is "not good enough", in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg's Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, says her show on Sunday will largely be focused on the services for Sen. McCain in Washington. And Julian Kheel, ThePointsGuy Senior Analyst, provides a much needed update on Labor Day travel in the U.S.

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, thinks Stanley Fischer will be hard to replace but Richard Clarida is a great pick for Fed Vice Chair. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Partner & Portfolio Manager, says the U.S. consumer is in very good shape right now. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor & Publisher, says he'd rather own wheat than any other soft commodity. And Miriam Sapiro, Sard Verbinnen's SVC Public Affairs Managing Director & Vice Chairman, says trade negotiations require a holistic approach from several government agencies. 

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says stocks are a little overdone. Stan Collender, Georgetown University Adjunct Professor of Public Policy & The Budget Guy Blog Founder, thinks a government shutdown in October is 60% likely. Andy Hunt, Wells Fargo AM Co-Head of Global Fixed Income & Head of LDI and Global Credit, shares his thoughts on the fixed income space. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, says any day that we don't have a trade war is a good day for the economy. 

Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says the new U.S.-Mexico trade agreement is a re-branding of NAFTA. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says the current administration is creating 'Fortress America' with tariffs. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, says underlying business conditions have been more than acceptable. And Greg Giroux, Bloomberg Government Elections Reporter, previews the midterm election primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Oklahoma today.

Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, says Senator John McCain was an intuitive, life-long learner. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the S&P 500 is carrying less volatile asset classes thanks to tech companies. Fred Lane, Lane Generational of Raymond James Managing Partner, says there is an increasingly good return on investment in college education. Erin Browne, UBS Managing Director & Head of Asset Allocation, says we are back to a negative bond-stock correlation. Grant Woods, McCain's Former Chief of Staff, says the Senator stood for basic human rights.

We bring you a Bloomberg Surveillance Special from the Grand Tetons in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent, interviews three Fed Presidents at the annual Economic Symposium. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says the Fed is very close to neutral rates. On the contrary, Loretta Mester, Cleveland Fed President, says gradual interest-rate increases should continue. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, agrees with Mester, he encourages the Fed 'to keep moving.' And we include final perspective from Frederic Mishkin, a former member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Michael McKee and Kathleen Hays, Bloomberg News Correspondents, are in Jackson Hole for the 2018 Economic Symposium. Hays speaks with Kansas City Fed President Esther George and McKee previews his upcoming interviews. Amo Mbatha, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses South Africa's reaction to President Trump's tweet. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the modern economy tends to downgrade the importance of land in income distribution. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, thinks gold never responds well in environments of rising rates and a strong dollar. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data and Polling Company, and Richard Turnill, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, discuss U.S.-Russia relations. 

Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington Correspondent, and Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of the United States, join us to recap headlines from Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen's cases. Robert Ray, Former Whitewater Independent Counsel known for his work on the Monica Lewinsky Case, offers perspective on the path forward for Mr. Manafort and Mr. Cohen. Robert Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Portfolio Manager, has his eye on earnings. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says U.S. housing numbers have been a disappointment. And David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, says we're not yet seeing Washington noise in the stock market.

John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, says Jerome Powell is a consensus builder. John Coffee Jr., Columbia Law School Adolf A. Berle Professor of Law & Director of the Center on Corporate Governance, says a tweet cannot explain the complexities of Tesla's decisions. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor & Peter G. Peterson Chair, discusses the latest issue. And Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Robert Bosch Senior Fellow, says it would be disastrous if Turkey left NATO, however, she hasn't seen any indication that they'll do so.

Thanos Vamvakidis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Head of G10 FX Strategy, thinks the dollar is overvalued by about 10%. Tim Quinlan, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, says conversations at Jackson Hole may be more about the balance sheet than the Fed funds rate. Ken Simonson, NABE Survey Analyst & Associated General Contractors Chief Economist, reviews the NABE survey and notes that 91% of the respondents said tariffs are harmful to the economy. And Meenal Patel, JPMorgan Private Bank EMEA Head of FX, Commodities, and Rates, foresees a continuation of global growth. 

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist, says the U.S. economy is late cycle. Romaine Bostick, Bloomberg News Editor, discusses scaling back the frequency of quarterly reporting per President Trump's tweet. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Global Economist, thinks Turkey's crisis is more idiosyncratic than systemic. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, says earnings are coming in stronger than he expected. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group Chief Research Officer, says JC Penney's search for a CEO is essential to the company's future. 

Dominic Konstam, DB Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Research, says the U.S. is immune to emerging markets to a point. Greg Parsons, Semper Capital Chief Executive Officer, says Special Counsel Robert Mueller is focused on getting to the truth. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments Director of Global Macro, says we're approaching late cycle but we're not there. And Elsa Lignos, RBC Capital Markets Global Head of FX Strategy, says Euro-Sterling looks fairly interesting. ------

James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, expects positive PMI surprises from the Eurozone. Steven Cook, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says compared to previous administrations, the current White House has changed the tone towards Turkey. And Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Macy's investors may be realizing that they got a bit ahead of themselves.