Invested: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast

Warren Buffett is currently sitting on about $150 billion in cash. Could this mean that doomsday — or a major market correction — is coming? Most of the time, successful investing is a waiting game. Just as there are poor times to sell your stocks, there are poor times to buy them as well. And sitting on cash while you wait for a better opportunity is often one of the best investing decisions that you can make. As Rule #1 investors, we try to invest in companies that have at least a 50% margin of safety, meaning that there is at least a 50% upside between the company’s stock price and its true value. When valuations are as high as they currently are, though, it becomes difficult to find any quality companies that exhibit this margin of safety. Looking at the Shiller PE ratio, prices have only been this high twice in the past 140 years. The first time they got this high was in 1929. The second time was in 1999. But we might not be here for much longer.  Following the smart money — defined as money from bi