Thedutylife's Podcast

If someone tries to trick you with "Evidence-based analysis", show him this story of the turkey  This Story of The Turkey     Consider the following story, borrows from Bertrand Russell and adapted by me    A turkey is fed for 1000 days by a butcher and everyday confirms to the turkey and turkey’s business’s paid membership site or offline- paid subscription’s site and offline, the turkey’s risk management department in a company, and the turkey’s analytic department in a business, the turkey’s statistic department of a company - that the butcher loves the turkey with increase statiscal evidence. And every day bring more confidence to the statement. But until 1001 days there something in the US call thanks giving, it is never a good idea to be a turkey that day .there is going to be a big surprise event or black swan of disastrous consequence for the turkey in another word the Turkey becomes death meat. What about the Butcher?Well I will give the answer at the end of this episode    This story proves in nutsh