Tech Policy Podcast

Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.Topics include:What’s a prediction, really?p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’sFreakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)AI can’t predict the impact of AIGaming AI with invisible inkLife is luck—let’s act like itSuperintelligence (us, that is)The bitter lessonAI danger: sweat the small stuffLinks:AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the DifferenceAI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy AI Snake Oil (Substack)