Early Edition with Kate Hawkesby

Tim Dower: There's a reason ACT continue to trend upwards

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Sinopsis

You have to take the polls with a pinch of salt right now, although we're closing in on the election and neither of the two main blocs has a clear lead. This time around the 1News Kantar poll puts National and ACT in the driving seat with 62 seats on these numbers - enough to govern alone. Bear a couple of things in mind though. Number one; this is another small survey with only 1000 people over the course of two days. Small polls mean a bigger margin of error and in this case it's a gnat's more than three points. Also in this poll around 12 percent said they didn't know, haven't made up their minds, or won't vote, or just refused to answer. Those people aren't counted when it comes to working out the party vote figures. Now look, any survey is basically a snapshot isn't it and it can be influenced by recent events, so it's more interesting and more useful to look at trends. Which direction the party or person you're interested in is travelling - is there a trend? When you look over time at the Kantar survey,