Complexity Premia

  • Autor: Vários
  • Narrador: Vários
  • Editor: Podcast
  • Duración: 35:50:14
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Sinopsis

Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which deconstructs modern investment problems. This podcast is suitable for wholesale investors only, does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation, and should not be relied upon in any way for decisions. Listeners in Australia are encouraged to visit ASIC's MoneySmart website to obtain information regarding financial advice and investments.

Episodios

  • Episode 67: From the RBA to the Fed: Policy, Politics, and the Hunt for Yield

    02/09/2025 Duración: 19min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, a Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi dissect the RBA’s recent rate cut and its ripple effects on housing, productivity, and fiscal policy, before turning to the US where Trump’s tariffs, Fed easing, and central bank independence dominate the debate; rounding out with a deep dive into the hunt for yield, we compare hybrids, bonds, and equities, stressing the trade-offs between risk, return, and the often-underestimated value of liquidity. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been pr

  • Tariff Trades & Shark Tales - Guest Appearance on Without Boundaries

    27/08/2025 Duración: 26min

    In this episode, Christopher Joye (Chief Investment Officer, Coolabah Capital) made a guest appearance on Without Boundaries, a podcast from Russell Investments (released on 8 July 2025) and hosted by Jon Eggins. Chris discusses how he successfully traded the Trump administration’s rollout of reciprocal tariffs, how Coolabah combines technology and people to exploit bond mispricings in the search for alpha, and how he once saved a surfer from a bull shark using a search-and-rescue drone. Don't forget to check out the original podcast on Spotify: Without Boundaries | Podcast on Spotify The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invit

  • That Crazy Aussie Shop - Guest Appearance on Without Boundaries

    27/08/2025 Duración: 17min

    In this episode, Christopher Joye (Chief Investment Officer, Coolabah Capital) made a guest appearance on Without Boundaries, a podcast from Russell Investments (released on 26 June 2025) and hosted by Jon Eggins. Chris discusses how he built a $15 billion bond shop against the odds, Coolabah’s contrarian approach to trading credit, and his deep ties to rugby in Australia and New Zealand. Don't forget to check out the original podcast on Spotify: Without Boundaries | Podcast on Spotify The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. Whilst we believe that the information discu

  • Episode 66: Middle East Tensions, Trump Tariffs & Australia's Economic Drift – Guest Appearance on Straight Talk with Mark Bouris

    01/07/2025 Duración: 01h10min

    In this episode (released on 1 July 2025), Christopher Joye (Chief Investment Officer, Coolabah Capital), made a return guest appearance on the Straight Talk with Mark Bouris podcast to discuss Chris’ outlook on trade developments since April - back when Trump first rattled markets with his tariff threats. Chris discusses Trump’s unpredictable economic plays, Coolabah’s bond trading strategy, and how quantitative models are being used to read the chaos. There’s no avoiding the geopolitical tension in the Middle East — or the Elon Musk/Trump rift and the impact on US central bank decisions. Chris and Mark dive into Australia’s productivity problem, housing market stress, and the recent NSW budget. And finally, a straight-up conversation on tax reform, the state of leadership in this country, and Australia’s financial future. Credit: Straight Talk with Mark Bouris. Don't forget to check out the original podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4h9vxr4EZvw9wnUxw7Xfd0?si=rzmjDHBlRo22DxAC822l5g  The vi

  • Episode 65: Musk–Trump Fallout; RBA to Continue Cutting Rates; Portfolio Performance

    11/06/2025 Duración: 22min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, a Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi unpack the fallout from Musk’s attack on Trump’s budget; the US fiscal outlook and implications for markets; how global disinflation, trade wars, and RBA rate cuts intersect; and Coolabah’s portfolio moves in May. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represen

  • Episode 64: Hedging April Trade War Chaos; Buying $4bn After Bad News Became Priced; Biggest Opportunities Ahead

    13/05/2025 Duración: 17min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, a Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss why Coolabah was extremely bearish heading into April, predicting large equity losses; why the team hedged 15-25% of all its credit risk through to 9 April; why they cut all hedges on this day and went aggressively long, buying over $4bn of bonds thereafter; and what the outlook in this new uncertain world looks like.    This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 60580605

  • Episode 63: Trump’s Tariffs & How the Trade War Will Hit Australia – Guest Appearance on Straight Talk with Mark Bouris

    09/04/2025 Duración: 59min

    In this episode (recorded on 1 April 2025), Christopher Joye (Chief Investment Officer, Coolabah Capital), made a guest appearance on the Straight Talk with Mark Bouris podcast to discuss Chris’ outlook on where the economy is heading, the real consequences of Trump’s tariffs, why China’s facing serious economic headwinds, and how Australia risks being dragged into the fallout of a global trade war. Chris and Mark also touch on Elon Musk’s play with DOGE, the cracks in Australian politics, and plenty more.  Credit: Straight Talk with Mark Bouris. Don't forget to check out the original podcast/video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tl4z-e52dYs The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (e

  • Episode 62: Trump’s Tariff Plans; US Fiscal Risks; RBA’s Evolving Rate Outlook; January Returns

    27/02/2025 Duración: 29min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, also a Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss January performance, the economic and geopolitical implications of Trump’s proposed tariffs, the US fiscal deficit challenge and Musk’s role in potential government efficiency. The team also unpacks the significance of the RBA’s rate cut and the evolving inflation outlook. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No.

  • Episode 61: Outlook for 2025; Performance Over Last Year; Trumpian Regime Change; Addressing the Big Questions

    22/01/2025 Duración: 25min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, also a Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss the outlook for 2025, performance over the last 12 months, what it means to be living in a Trumpian world, and the big questions that lie in wait. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the v

  • Episode 60: Hybrid Market Dies; RBA Wants to Cut Rates; Portfolio Performance; Australia's Profound Productivity Puzzle

    12/12/2024 Duración: 25min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, also a Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss why APRA is killing the bank hybrid market, why the RBA is so desperate to cut interest rates, recent portfolio performance, and Australia's profound productivity puzzle. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers an

  • Episode 59: What Trump Means for Portfolios; Inflation; Interest Rates; and Recent Performance

    13/11/2024 Duración: 21min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss the US election, what President Trump means for asset-allocation and portfolios, the outlook for inflation and interest rates, and recent investment performance. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take

  • Episode 58: September Performance; US Economic Strength; Long-Term Interest Rate Moves; APRA Increases Bank Leverage; Trading Regulatory Risk

    09/10/2024 Duración: 21min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments, including asset-class performance in September, the recent US employment data, movements in long-term interest rates, and the regulatory risks emerging in Australia's banking system, which is impacting bond and hybrid markets, amongst other things. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording repres

  • Episode 57: Great Public vs Private Credit Debate; Killer vs Gorilla; Is Private Credit the Next Sub-Prime Crisis; APRA Tries to Kill Hybrid Market…

    12/09/2024 Duración: 21min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments, including the great private vs public credit debate between Chris and Andrew Lockhart of Metrics (watch the video here so you can judge who won) and APRA’s controversial proposal to kill off the Aussie bank hybrid market, amongst other things. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent t

  • Episode 56: $80m Record Home Sale; Is Public Spending Driving Inflation; Reaccelerating in 2025; Dictators vs Democracy; Neo-Socialism

    29/08/2024 Duración: 12min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments, including record house price sales, whether public spending is driving inflation, the risk of a reacceleration next year, the choice between dictators and democracy, and the rise of neo-socialism. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not

  • Episode 55: Volatility Shock; Bond Market Performance; RBA Jawboning; Arrogant Aussies

    20/08/2024 Duración: 26min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments, including the global financial market turbulence in August, the RBA's jawboning of arrogant Aussies, recent bond market performance and much more. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The

  • Episode 54: What a Trump Presidency means for Inflation, Interest rates, Asset Prices & Geo-Politics

    24/07/2024 Duración: 16min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Deputy CIO Roger Douglas discuss a range of important developments, including why investors need to start preparing for how a re-elected Donald Trump will shape inflation, interest rates, and hence asset prices. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any o

  • Episode 53: Episode 53: Will Fed Cut Rates In September; Sahm Rule Implies US Recession Coming; Why PIMCO Says Private Credit Unattractive; And Best Performing Asset-Classes in 2024

    16/07/2024 Duración: 22min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Deputy CIO Roger Douglas discuss a range of important developments, including whether the Fed will cut rates in September, why the Sahm Rule suggests the US may be heading into recession, why PIMCO says private credit returns are unattractive and 40% of all private credit borrowers may not be able to repay their loans, and which asset-classes have performed best in 2024. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Servic

  • Episode 52: Sovereign Debt Crises are Back; France on the Brink; Aussie States Out of Control; Inflation Numbers Key to Asset Prices

    26/06/2024 Duración: 13min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments, including why sovereign debt crises are back, how France is on the brink, why fiscal policy is swamping monetary policy, out-of-control State government spending, and why inflation holds the key to asset prices.   This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions o

  • Episode 51: Zombies Drop Like Flies; Default Cycle Erupts; French Bonds Implode; Fiscal Policy Swamps Monetary Policy; May Returns

    17/06/2024 Duración: 24min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss a range of important developments regarding the zombie corporate apocalypse, an ever-worsening default cycle, the explosion in French government bond yields, and the challenge for central banks trying to tame inflation when politicians are spending like crazy…   This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the perso

  • Episode 50: Stagflation; Kiwi Independence; Private Credit LIT; and the New Sub Debt ETF (BSUB)

    27/05/2024 Duración: 15min

    Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss Kiwi central bankers running rings around their Aussie brethren, May performance, global private credit, and BetaShares' new major bank subordinated bond ETF, known as BSUB.    This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The inf

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