Sinopsis
Taking you way beyond Wall Street, Adventures in Finance offers investing ideas, finance stories, lateral thinking and irreverent insights from some of the most brilliant minds in finance. Whether youre a heavyweight investor or just dabbling your toe in finance embark on a journey down the financial path less travelled with Adventures in Finance.
Episodios
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Revenge of the Miners: Green Energy Meets Natural Resources ( w/ Warren Irwin )
17/05/2021 Duración: 01h10minReal Vision Live Replay: Warren Irwin, president and CIO of Rosseau Asset Management and one of the most successful natural resources investors of the past few decades, joins Real Vision’s Max Wiethe to discuss why he is investing in uranium, copper, nickel, and metallurgical coal producers as his bet on the green energy trend. Irwin argues that nuclear power will be a necessity to hit emissions targets and the idea that renewables like wind and solar could be relied upon to power humanity is ludicrous as that would require an inconceivable number of batteries. Although he is still bullish on batteries and the electrification trend, he argues that current favorites like lithium and cobalt are respectively too abundant and likely to be phased out of future iterations of battery technology, and he prefers copper, nickel, and metallurgical coal to play this trend. Irwin also highlights some individual companies he is looking at and touches on why he is currently underweight gold and generally against investing i
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Fourth Turning Update: The Pandemic's Impact on Demographics, the Economy, and Society
16/05/2021 Duración: 01h01minThe Interview: Even with birthrates slowing and rapid aging in the developed world, years like 2021 where deaths outpace new births are a huge demographic outlier. In this interview with Ed Harrison, Neil Howe, author and managing director of demographics at Hedgeye, helps viewers make sense of the outsized impact that events like this can have on demographic trends. Howe and Harrison also go further than the demographics to examine how this has impacted different generations and the key players in the Fourth Turning saga. Specifically, they examine trends around migration, housing, commercial real estate, COVID variant risk, and political polarization. Recorded on March 23, 2021. Key Learnings: As well as accelerating and altering the trajectory of many societal trends around urbanization, housing, and migration, the pandemic has altered the entire demographic trajectory of the developed world. Although these consequences will take time to become measurable, investors need to be aware of the effects this
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The Next Wave of Regulation, Adoption, and the Intersection of Private Cryptos and CBDCs ( w/ Kyle Bass & Peter Smith )
15/05/2021 Duración: 50minThe. Interview: It’s no secret that crypto has gone from a retail phenomenon to something increasingly embraced by institutions and professional investors. As well, the size of the market has gotten to a point that governments in the West and the East can no longer ignore it. In this interview with Kyle Bass, founder and CIO of Hayman Capital, Peter Smith, CEO and co-founder of Blockchain.com, discusses how governments in the West and East will approach regulation of crypto markets and how the world of private cryptos and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) will interact rather than compete. They also discuss how Smith has built his firm accordingly and why he looks at Blockchain as more like the JP Morgan of crypto than something entirely retail-focused like TD Ameritrade. Finally, they touch on Smith's personal asset allocation, his predictions for crypto markets over the next year, and his own questions on Bass' outlook for inflation in 2021. Recorded on March 10, 2021. Key Learnings: Private cryptos
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Raoul Pal: Insights from "Welcome to the Exponential Age" Week 1
15/05/2021 Duración: 57minDB-May15,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, to review the first week of the campaign, “Welcome to the Exponential Age.” Ed and Raoul explore how the past week’s interviews have either reinforced or dispelled Raoul’s macro thinking as well as what surprised him most. Raoul will also providing his insight into the sell-off in tech after the past four weeks of seeing the Nasdaq in the red. Join the Exponential Age now and watch it all for $1 right here: https://www.realvision.com/l/the-exponential-age Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Making Sense of Yesterday's Sell-Off -- What's Next?
13/05/2021 Duración: 40minDB-May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to contextualize yesterday’s sell-off and whether it is indicative of longer-term market troubles. Thornton will update his thinking concerning what sectors he has his eye on and how he’s positioning his trades since a full re-opening in the U.S. is almost here. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Inflation Pains: Will the Fed Stay the Course?
13/05/2021 Duración: 01h44sDB- May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington discuss the huge inflationary print that is roiling equity markets. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Dave Floyd: The Sell-Off Continues
12/05/2021 Duración: 42minDB-May11,2021: Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to provide an update on the markets as U.S. equities continued their decline this morning as inflation pressure looms large on the horizon. As the U.S. 5-year breakeven inflation rates reaches a 15-year high, Floyd will be sharing his perspective on the inflation narrative that has been roiling markets this year, what currency pairs he has his eye on, and what’s going on in S&P futures. For Our Listeners: Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Nasdaq's Slump, Beyond Meat's Woes, and DogeCoin's Latest Rival ( w/ Kyla Scanlon )
11/05/2021 Duración: 40minDB- May10,2025 - On today’s live edition of the Daily Briefing, Real Vision’s Jack Farley welcomes Kyla Scanlon, investment partner at On Deck and financial content creator, for a conversation on the most important market stories driving markets, including Amazon’s eight-part bond issue, the NASDAQ’s slump, hacking of the Colonial fuel pipeline, and the launching of the Shiba Inu token (SHIB). Scanlon shares with Farley her analysis on today’s pullback in investment grade bond ETF $LQD, Beyond Meat’s earnings ($BYND), as well as the latest news on GameStop Corp ($GME). For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Opposing Views on the Role of Government and the Essence of Money ( w/ Peter Schiff & Michael Green )
10/05/2021 Duración: 01h43minThe Interview: Mike Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management, and Peter Schiff, chief economist and global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, sit down with Real Vision's king of neutrality, Ash Bennington, for a debate on the merits of MMT vs Austrian Economics, other questions around what the defining characteristics of good money actually are, and whether we will finally see the inflation that many have been calling for. Schiff and Green will also discuss their outlooks for various asset classes given their differing views on inflation, monetary policy, and the role of government. Recorded on April 22, 2021 For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Get Ready for the Return of Secular Stagnation ( w/ Daniel Lacalle & Ed Harrison )
09/05/2021 Duración: 01h08minThe Interview: Narratives around the reflation trade and asset prices are currently pointing towards a full recovery and a period of extended growth as the world exits lockdowns. In this interview with Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison, Daniel Lacalle, chief economist and CIO at Tressis, argues that this is being fueled by nothing more than hope and that, although this is a recovery, the world will return to the same state of secular stagnation and low growth that existed pre-COVID. Lacalle explains why fiscal and monetary policies, which have not generated inflation, will only make this situation worse, why he thinks there is only a few months left in the reflation trade, and the resulting asset allocation based on his outlook. They also discuss current pockets of value and the sectors that Lacalle considers to be value traps like energy and financials as well as Lacalle’s outlook for the dollar. Recorded on March 10, 2021. Key Learnings: Sectors like energy and financials, which have been benefiting
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How Taxes Will Shape the Future ( w/ Dominic Frisby & Raoul Pal )
08/05/2021 Duración: 50minThe Interview: Even before COVID, global deficits had already expanded—but in the last year, they have exploded to levels that almost guarantee increases in taxes. We can already see the effects as high-net-worth individuals and businesses leave high tax areas like California for lower tax areas like Florida, Texas, and the Cayman Islands. Dominic Frisby, author of "Daylight Robbery: How Tax Shaped Our Past and Will Change Our Future," sits down with Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to discuss the history of taxes, sinister invisible taxes in the form of targeted inflation and monetary debasement, and the future of taxes considering the trends outlined above. Pal and Frisby also discuss the inevitability and virtues of some level of tax and cooperation and the potential for better tax structures to emerge from this crisis. Recorded on March 2, 2021. Key Learnings: Increased taxes, new taxes, and monetary debasement are almost an inevitability considering massive global deficits post-COVID. Immigrati
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Raoul Pal: Is Macro "Dead"?
08/05/2021 Duración: 01h03minDB-May7,2021: Managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to introduce Real Vision’s latest campaign, “Welcome to the Exponential Age.” Raoul will be going in-depth on his new macro framework, the Exponential Age, and he and Ed tease their interview that’s being released on Monday. They also contextualize today’s U.S. jobs report, which fell far from economists’ expectations, and Raoul explains what the Exponential Age means for employment going forward. For our Listeners: Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Gold Breaks Out As Labor Market Trouble Endures
07/05/2021 Duración: 47minDB-May6,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley evaluate price action in markets as the bond market refuses to budge, some chaos in single stocks today has been hidden by relatively flat U.S. equity indexes, and gold is breaking out of its range, surging beyond $1800. Ed also takes an in-depth look at today's economic data on initial and continuing jobless claims as well as the latest news flow on companies' struggles to hire workers even as unemployment rate remains in elevated territory. Jack reports from the trenches of the over-the-counter interest rate swaps market and speculates on what it indicates about investors' trust in the Fed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Bitcoin: Savior of a Dying Empire? ( w/ Michael Krieger & Brent Johnson )
05/05/2021 Duración: 01h50minReal Vision Crypto Wednesday: Michael Krieger, creator of Liberty Blitzkrieg, joins Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, to discuss their discovery of Bitcoin, the subculture, and the probability of a government shutdown. Krieger describes Bitcoin as a representation of a path or blueprint for humanity to follow: not just with money, but with nearly everything. They note that Bitcoin is decentralized, permissionless, and open-source, and that these three qualities are key to Bitcoin's success. Krieger also believes that Bitcoin is increasingly becoming more political, and he notes that the only 2 major political movements in this day and age are localism and Bitcoin. Recorded on March 18, 2021. Key Learnings: Krieger and Johnson believe that, although the current US infrastructure is still strong, citizens are looking to shift to more free and open sources in both their digital and physical lives. They believe that Bitcoin is better than any country's digital reserve currency because of its decentralize
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Tony Greer: Update on Inflation, Rates, and Commodities as Growth Stocks Decline
05/05/2021 Duración: 45minDB-May4,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro to discuss Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s statement today on interest rates, Bank of America’s warning of transitory hyperinflation, and Q1 earnings. Greer shares his perspective on Yellen’s assertion on the possible need to raise interest rates and how it impacted markets today, and he and Bennington speculate on whether the Fed will change course later in the year. Greer also considers the trajectory of inflation in light of Bank of America’s statement about transitory hyperinflation to come and explores why he feels this time is different for price inflation. Finally, Bennington and Greer touch on Q1 earnings and Dogecoin’s meteoric rise. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Warren Buffett on Stocks and Inflation - Plus the Interest Rate Swirl
04/05/2021 Duración: 54minDB-May3,2021: Real Vision managing Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley break down today’s market action in stocks, bonds, and commodities. Farley interprets Warren Buffett’s latest comments at the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders’ meeting, and he and Harrison discuss Buffett’s statements on inflation and equity performance as well as the announcement of Buffett’s successor. Harrison evaluates recent moves in the bond market and shares his views on whether currencies or interest rates will be the “release valve” for volatility as equities grind higher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Will the U.S. Leave the Value of the Dollar to "Market Forces"? ( w/ Luke Gromen)
03/05/2021 Duración: 01h19minReal Vision Live Replay: Luke Gromen, founder and president of FFTT, joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss why he believes the strength or weakness of the dollar cannot be left to market forces. Gromen argues that, if left to market forces, the sheer size of the U.S. Government deficit would crowd out global dollar markets, sending the dollar skyrocketing with devastating consequences for global markets. Paired with recent rhetoric from Janet Yellen about not seeking a weak dollar has shaken Gromen's conviction in near-term dollar weakness and the subsequent knock-on effects. Gromen and Harrison will also discuss Gromen's views on the Treasury market and why he thinks rates will be allowed to rise until something cracks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility ( w/ Harley Bassman)
02/05/2021 Duración: 01h17minThe Interview: With bonds selling off alongside equities and the volatility of both asset classes rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman. In this interview with Logica Capital Advisors partner, chief strategist, and PM Mike Green, Bassman outlines his view that this move higher in rates is the bond market finally moving towards the "right" price after a decade of interest rate suppression. Green and Bassman discuss the positive and negative consequences of higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and monetary and fiscal policies like negative interest rates and stimulus checks. They also touch on the current opportunities that Bassman sees and his prediction of inflationary impulse due to demographics sometime between 2023 and 2025. Harley Bassman has provided a slide deck to accompany this interview which can be found here: https://rvtv.io/3cai4CR and his commentary on convexity can be found here: https://rvtv.io/38eiXZS. Recorded on March 3, 2021. Key Le
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Jim Rogers: Identifying Opportunities While Markets Are Up to A Fever Pitch
01/05/2021 Duración: 38minThe. Interview: Legendary independent investor Jim Rogers joins Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to share his outlook on markets and the lessons he learned on his storied career. Rogers tells Pal that this current market environment, marked by record-low mutual fund cash levels and high levels of investing on margin, reminds him somewhat of the conditions prior to the "Black Monday" sell-off on October 19, 1987, which actually occurred on Rogers’ birthday. Rogers stresses the importance of thinking for oneself and argues that China is well-positioned to be the future engine of economic growth and technological progress. Recorded on February 23, 2021. Key learnings: Rogers is very constructive on commodities such as silver, oil, sugar, and various other agricultural opportunities. He notes speculative fervor in the current market, particularly in SPACs, but sees opportunities in China and Russia in addition to commodities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Lessons from Earnings Season
01/05/2021 Duración: 01h38sDB-Apr30,2021: Real Vision crypto editor Ash Bennington welcomes managing editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a crazy week in markets in this live edition of the Daily Briefing. Alongside Real Vision’s Jack Farley, they examine how the momentous earnings announcements, particularly in big tech, impact valuations. Ash gives his take on the latest goings-on in the crypto world, and Ed and Jack review what rising yields on European bonds means for the continents recovery as well as the U.S. dollar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices