Adventures In Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

U.S. equities are tumbling as the 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 3-month highs as investors wory about interest rates ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes reveal. Maggie Lake is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap to discuss current market sentiment, which direction he sees markets heading in the short-term, the apparent re-rating of risk happening in bond markets, and where he’s looking for value in the chop. Plus, we’ll hear from Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management, about why the $8 trillion U.S. balance sheet is a monster lurking that no one is paying attention to. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XLP0ac Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this three-way conversation, Raoul speaks with Mark and Tim on the currency that we should prioritize higher-- time. In his Master Class, Mark Hart mentions Tim Ferriss as a friend and lifestyle design advisor. A master of meta-learning, Tim discusses easy ways to optimize your productivity, why we confuse the goal of 'having money' with 'quality of life', and explains what happens when we re-examine our self-defined boundaries. Originally aired on February 21, 2015 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Andreas Steno Larsen explains why China’s reopening is a negative for last year’s market darling, India. Plus, he gives an update on U.S. dollar liquidity and a sneak peek into his new show, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, available to Plus members starting on Friday. Recorded on January 31, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. stocks are sliding into the weekend, as investors contemplate the risk of sticky inflation and soaring U.S. Treasury yields. Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins Maggie Lake to break down the latest price action and discuss the monumental task facing the Fed. This is another extended Friday edition of the show, and in Part 2 Dr. Sri-Kumar will explain what’s driving central bank decisions around the globe. That will be available only to Real Vision members.We’ll also hear an update from Andreas Steno Larsen on global liquidity, and why he thinks liquidity may have already bottomed. You can watch that entire Steno’s Signals episode here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. producer prices (PPI) rose 0.7% in January, calling into question the prevailing disinflation narrative for the second time this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Peter Boockvar, the CIO of Bleakly Advisory Group, to help break down all the latest inflation data and discuss the Fed’s chances at navigating any sort of soft landing. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why it’s so important to pay attention to the NFIB price plan survey when it comes to pricing pressure. You can watch that full interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. retail sales numbers came in much stronger than expected after yesterday’s still-sticky inflation print. The stock market remains range-bound as investors consider the next directional catalyst. Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for a look under the hood at what’s driving the price action. Imran is an options expert, so he’ll share why volatility has collapsed of late, what bonds and gold are signaling, and how traders are positioning into March. We’ll also hear from Damian Horner and Roger Hirst on the delicate balance between unemployment and recession. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. inflation rose 6.4% YoY last month, down from 6.5% in December but above expectations while monthly inflation rose 0.5% — the biggest increase in 3 months. Stocks largely shrugged in response, as markets remain relatively unchanged. Elsewhere, oil futures are down after the U.S. government announced it would release more crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help alleviate concerns over Russian production cuts. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator and founder of TG Macro, to assess the market’s CPI response and discuss the latest developments in energy markets. Plus, we’ll give you a look at Raoul Pal’s interview with David Dredge, who explains how he profits off of unexpected market events. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3RSMmhO Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities pushed higher as investors look ahead to tomorrow morning’s U.S. CPI print. Ash Bennington sits down with Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, to discuss today’s price action and how Dave is positioning ahead of the January inflation data. Plus, Weston Nakamura will join the show with an update on what a new governor at the BOJ means for global markets, why the yen is slipping against the dollar, and how he’s trading navigating global markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this 90-minute AMA-style show, the Morning Navigator’s editor, Tony Greer, will answer your questions directly and offer unique insights about the current macro landscape. It’s your chance to get a unique moment with TG and learn what drives his thoughts on the markets. Grab a beer or a drink and tune in for a relaxed and conversational experience with Tony, while learning from one of the industry’s leading analysts. Live streamed on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Following a speech last week by FOMC member Christopher Waller, Andreas Steno Larsen presents what he calls the “Waller Rule,” which suggests that QT will either need to slow or pause if USD reserves become equal to 10-11% of U.S. GDP. He then breaks down why this potential scenario might be bad news for risk assets in the second half of 2023. Recorded on January 24, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

All three major U.S. equity indices are poised to clock in losses this week as investors brace for the latest CPI print due next Tuesday. So, are investors starting to think talk of a soft landing is overdone? George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG Securities, thinks it is. In this special extended Daily Briefing he joins Andreas Steno Larsen to unpack the week’s market action and the road ahead for central bank tightening across the globe. Join to understand Goncalves’s investing framework, and be sure to subscribe to learn how he executes it in the second half of the show. We’ll also give you a peek into Real Vision's “The Knitting Show” with Roger Hirst, discussing the changing consensus view on a recession for this year. Plus and Pro members can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities gave up early gains and yields pushed higher as investors assess mixed earning results and economic data ahead of next week’s January CPI print. Despite the late selloff in stocks, a weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors showed that investors are net bullish for the first time in nearly a year. Jared Dillian, the editor of the Daily Dirtnap, joins Maggie Lake to discuss sentiment, commodities, and more. We’ll also hear a clip from Andreas Steno Larsen on why energy is underperforming despite China’s reopening. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3HQOcuL Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Federal Reserve board members continue to call for more rate hikes, a day after chairman Jay Powell reaffirmed the central bank’s commitment to higher interest rates. Markets are eager to be free of the shackles of inflationary forces and quantitative tightening, but Vincent Deluard of the StoneX Group sees the bright side of this bear market. He joins Ash Bennington to explore how this painful macro regime shift could lead to a better tomorrow. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Looking for the Upside, where the author Dror Poleg discusses the evolving real estate market in the era of remote work. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3I8OL4A Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In today’s session at the Economic Club of Washington, chairman Jay Powell said the ‘disinflationary process’ had begun, but the Fed will likely need to continue raising interest rates to bring inflation down further. Powell’s comments sent risk assets swinging this afternoon, but overall markets remain relatively flat. Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGateHub, joins Maggie Lake to dissect the price action and discuss what’s happening in currencies and commodities.Plus, we’ll hear a clip from investor Harris Kupperman on why he thinks failing is all part of the game. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3I5e4EB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities are flat-to-down and yields are pushing higher as many investors reconsider how the Fed may be forced to act following Friday’s strong jobs data. With uncertainty abound, Mike Alfred, managing partner of Alpine Fox LP, joins Maggie Lake to share his macro outlook and the value opportunities he’s spotting in this volatile market. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision's new series, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds discussing why a recession is a reasonable bet. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Y8mS2e Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

When the U.S. breaches its debt limit, the Treasury will be forced to inject new liquidity into financial markets using various accounting gimmicks. Andreas shares how this extra cash flow could affect various asset classes and explores the potential multiple and ugly ramifications of this nightmare scenario. Recorded on January 17, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Today’s jobs report packed a serious punch, showing that 517,000 new jobs were added in the U.S. in January — far above median estimates — and bringing unemployment down to a 54-year low of 3.4%. Equities and bonds are selling off on the news. According to Spectra Markets’ president Brent Donnelly, a soft landing is just one of 5 possible macro narratives that could win out. Brent joins Maggie Lake to tease out the 5 outcomes facing investors in this special edition of the Daily Briefing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities continue to see broad gains in intraday trading after yesterday’s conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, who announced a 25-basis point rate hike. Today, both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England hiked rates by 50 basis points. RTM Capital Advisors CIO Mark Ritchie II sees this as further proof of a new bull market. He’ll join Maggie Lake to unpack this “Run of the Bulls 2.0” and discuss the price action in gold and crypto. Plus, we’ll hear from natural resources investor Rick Rule on why he sees upside in precious metals. Watch the entire Looking for the Upside episode here: https://rvtv.io/3X0Vl16 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Federal Reserve approved a much-anticipated quarter-point interest rate hike this afternoon — and suggested that another rate rise could be coming next — in its continued battle to tame inflation. And while the central bank’s statement reiterated that “ongoing increases in the target rate will be appropriate,” futures markets are still pricing in a rate cut by the end of 2023. In his press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell said that the Fed remains strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to 2 percent, and that “there remains much more work to do” to achieve sustained price control. Darius Dale of 42 Macro joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss the market’s reaction to the Fed announcement, what signals Powell sent to investors, and what other key market drivers we should be watching other than interest rates. Plus, we’ll hear from Danielle DiMartino Booth from the debut episode of The Deep Dive on why we may already be in recession. Watch that entire interview here: http://rvtv.io/3WV4pEQ Lear

U.S. stocks made gains on Tuesday, closing the month of January on a positive note. Meanwhile, the U.S. housing market fell for the fifth straight month and is down 2.5% from its peak in June 2022. But that didn’t stop homebuilders from rallying today. Ash Bennington is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss that surprising price action and give us an update on where he sees the energy sector heading. We’ll also give you a peek into our latest edition of Investor Tutorials where Jamie McDonald breaks down how the housing market works, and what’s really driving the price trends. Watch the entire episode here: https://rvtv.io/3HmLnlc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices