Bloomberg Surveillance

Terry Haines, Evercore ISI's senior political strategist, says the GOP has the "keys to the car" but not complete control and that White House investigations are distractions in D.C. Then, Michael Cohen, the head of energy commodities research at Barclays, says there's a lack of clarity from Libya and Nigeria on oil levels. Finally, Peter Hayes, BlackRock's head of municipal bonds, says new high yield deals that are coming to the markets are structurally weak.

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz and a columnist at Bloomberg View, talks about the future of the Federal Reserve. Prior to that, Chris Verrone, who heads technical analysis at Strategas Research Partners, says market trends can influence seasonality. Jeff Sprague, founder of Vertical Research Partners, says GE's cash flow was better for the second quarter, but the company has a big hill to climb to get to the full-year target. Finally, Bloomberg View's Tim O'Brien says people need to care about issues related to Russian sanctions.

Kenneth Rogoff, a professor at Harvard University, says central bankers should've been more aggressive during the financial crisis and that India's demonetization was done too quickly. Prior to that, Kathy Matsui, chief Japan equity strategist at Goldman Sachs Japan, says Japanese companies are strong. Robert Shiller, a professor at Yale University, says New York City housing is more affordable than people think. Finally, New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu says Washington's stuck making the same mistakes in health care.

Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Peirpont, says there's a lot of political and monetary uncertainty in the U.S. Then, Donald Straszheim, the head of Evercore ISI's China research team, says Washington won't be able to get what it wants out of China. Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae's chief economist, expects strong U.S. housing price appreciation to continue. Finally, Jared Bernstein, a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy, says the best thing the Fed can do is let the labor market run hot to create more wage pressure.

Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's director of U.S. practice, says the federal government will have to step in as the Obamacare marketplace fails. Prior to that, John Silvia, Wells Fargo's chief economist, says there's an imbalance in U.S. economic policies. Jonathan Miller, CEO of Miller Samuel, says credit hasn't normalized for mortgage lendings. Finally, Bloomberg Businessweek's Joshua Green discusses Steve Bannon's influence on power, the thinking behind Trump's actions and the state of U.S. political parties.

Ezekiel Emanuel, chairman of medical ethics and health policy at the University of Pennsylvania, says the health-care bill must be defeated. Prior to that, Tony Crescenzi, a market strategist at PIMCO, says he expects one more rate hike this year with two to three in 2018. Finally, Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump must widen his circle of advisers.

Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan says businesses have far less pricing power right now and to expect wage pressures to mount in the months ahead. Prior to that, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says we should feel confident about the sustainability of the market. Megan Murphy, editor of Bloomberg Businessweek, discusses Lloyd Blankfein's banking resiliency. Kenneth Leon, a bank analyst at CFRA, says Wells Fargo is a "super-regional bank" rather than a diversified global bank. Finally, Thomas Coburn, a former senator from Oklahoma, says health care won't get fixed in Washington.

Steve Rattner, Willett Advisors' chairman, says Trump isn't interested in advice or suggestions in running his White House. Prior to that, Mario Gabelli, Gabelli Funds' CIO of value portfolios, says American companies will get tailwinds as opposed to headwinds. Douglas Elmendorf, the dean of Harvard's Kennedy School, says it's important for GOP leaders to stand up for the CBO and its work. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research Group, says Fox is undervalued. Finally, Martin Sorrell, WPP's CEO, says businesses have yet to see the effects of U.K. uncertainty.

Arkansas Congressman French Hill says Fed governors need banking, business and a mixture of experience. Prior to that, Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan's chief economist, says the important thing to look for from the Fed is balance sheet timing. Libby Cantrill, Pimco's executive vice president, says expectations for passing legislation are unrealistic. Finally, Toby Cosgrove, CEO of the Cleveland Clinic, says he doesn't expect the health-care bill to be passed.

Charles Plosser, the former Philadelphia Fed president, says central banks around the world have overreached and Randal Quarles's nomination would be good for the Fed board. Prior to that, Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds' CIO of growth equities, says we're in a nominal 3 percent GDP world. David Shulkin, U.S. Secretary of Veterans Affairs, says the V.A. has invested heavily in cybersecurity. Doug Bandow, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute, says North Korea's regime is evil, but not crazy. Finally, Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg View's executive editor, says Trump is his own first and last counsel.

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump's "wounds" are self-inflicted by his sensitivity to criticism and inability to let the Russia story go. Prior to that, Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics' chief economist, says Europe inflation is under  target. Jim Barry, BlackRock's head of real assets, says the U.S. has underinvested in infrastructure for 30 to 40 years. Finally, Robert Hormats, vice chairman of Kissinger Associates, says a well-functioning global economy would make America great again.

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says the bond market isn't in a rout yet and to expect one more Fed rate increase this year, likely in December. Prior to that, Alan Krueger, a professor at Princeton University, says the U.S. is heading toward a labor shortage economy. James Glassman, a senior economist at JPMorgan, says the jobs data for June show people are recognizing the economy's in a better position today. Finally, Max Baucus, the former U.S. ambassador to China, says foreign leaders don't know what to expect from President Trump's inconsistency.

Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says Russia is clearly trying to undermine stability among European countries within the NATO alliance. Barry Eichengreen, a professor at the University of California at Berkley, says the U.S. will learn how hard it is to go alone in the world. Roberto Azevedo, the director general at the World Trade Organization, says the Trump administration is still trying to figure out its trade plans. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says the Fed's still following the Phillips curve tradition. Gene Munster, co-founder of Loup Ventures, says Tesla's Model 3 is a paradigm shift in e-vehicles and autonomy.

Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, and John Ryding, RDQ Economics' chief economist, agree to disagree on the past, present and future for Fed Chair Yellen and other bankers. Prior to that, David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says the Fed will lead the way against market dangers through gradual rate increases and careful communication. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management's chief economist, says the Fed's painted into a corner in terms of shrinking its balance sheet. Finally, Louise Yamada, a market analyst at Louise Yamada Techresearch, says a near-term correction isn't in the horizon.

Robert Feldman, a senior advisor at Morgan Stanley MUFG, says Shinzo Abe has an opportunity to get his party back on track and Japan wants to play a more active role against North Korea. Prior to that, Berenberg Capital Markets' Mickey Levy says global central banks are conducting policies that are inconsistent with market fundamentals. Finally, Don Katz, founder and CEO of Audible, discusses the evolution of the audio book, podcasts and Audible's relationship with Amazon.

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, talks about his optimistic view of the unemployment rate and says it would be positive for the U.S. if the Eurozone strengthens. Robert Profusek, a partner at Jones Day, says the pace of deal-making isn't slowing but it's taking longer to close. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the recent gold drop may have been caused by Venezuela selling.

Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners, says headwinds in the banking industry could be a "toxic cocktail." Prior to that, Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says the ECB will be tapering further by the end of the year. Charles Peabody, an analyst at Compass Point Research, says Jamie Dimon's tech investments have put JPMorgan at an advantage. Dan Yergin, IHS' vice chairman, says big oil will go through soul-searching. Finally, Texas Representative Kevin Brady says the Senate will resolve their differences and pass health care.

Former Secretary of Health and Human Services Michael Leavitt says Mitch McConnell will ultimately get his 50 votes for health care but will need heavy negotiations. Prior to that, Stan Collender, Qorvis MSLGROUP's executive vice president says the CBO is stronger today than it was two months ago. Komal Sri-Kumar, founder and president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, says Christine Lagarde's too optimistic about the U.S. Then, Diane Swonk, CEO of Diane Swonk & Associates, says U.S. GDP is stuck at 2 percent. Finally, Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research Group, says Facebook's user growth isn't particularly meaningful.

Margrethe Vestager, the European commissioner for competition, says Google demoted rivals in favor of Google Shopping. Prior to that, Neal Soss, Credit Suisse's vice chairman of global fixed income, says infrastructure is the way to get GDP higher than 2 percent. David Herro, CIO of international equity at Harris Associates, says Google is a strong, virtuous business but there's concern about privacy. Finally, David Kotok, CEO of Cumberland Advisors, says Amazon's Whole Foods purchase made sense and that more "unusual" consolidations are on the way.

Boston Mayor Martin Walsh says Trump needs to stop tweeting and focus on issues like infrastructure and the opioid epidemic. Prior to that, William Lee, Milken Institute's chief economist, says raising rates may cause consumers to start spending. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets' managing director of equity research, says the real value is in the largest banks. Finally, Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says it's unhealthy for the Fed to own too much government debt.