Bloomberg Surveillance

Ahead of Wednesday's Fed meeting, Russ Koesterich, a global allocation fund manager at BlackRock, discusses criticisms of the U.S. central bank and says rates aren't an ideal tool for tackling income inequality. Toby Cosgrove, the president of the Cleveland Clinic, says people must recognize the magnitude of the opiod crisis and it's up to the state and federal governments to solve it. Douglas Holtz-Eakin, the president of the American Action Forum, discusses the deficit and its disservice to the overall economy. Finally, Gary Bettman, the commissioner of the National Hockey League, says new guidelines have opened up hockey to become a game of speed and skill. 

Congress needs to disrupt its 19th-century structure, while still respecting the institution, Jane Harman, the president and CEO of the Woodrow Wilson Center, says. Willett Advisors' Steve Rattner says the existential question for Apple is what is the next act and is Tim Cook able to produce it? Finally, Princeton economist Alan Krueger discusses the connection between the opioid crisis and labor force participation.

Hugh Hendry, the founder of Eclectica Asset Management, discusses the motivations behind the decision to close the Eclectica Fund and says the global macro game will get fun again in the future. Sen. Ben Cardin, a Democrat from Maryland, says the only way our political system will function is if Republicans and Democrats work together. Fortress Investments' Wes Edens, Marc Lasry, the founder of Avenue Capital Group and co-owner of the Milwaukee Bucks, and Jamie Dinan, the founder of York Capital Management, talk about investing in a "tough" environment and the evolution of basketball. Finally, Christopher Hill, former U.S. Ambassador to South Korea, says the U.S. and China must do more than sanctions against North Korea. 

It's embarrassing that parents have more choices of mayonnaise at the supermarket than they do schools to send their children to, Sen. John Kennedy, a Republican from Louisiana, says. Pimco's Rich Clarida says technology, trade, and immigration are working together to create anxiety for Americans. Finally, former CIA director Jim Woolsey says Russia's interference with elections isn't new--it's the cyber-tactics they're using.

We need to focus on getting workers the skills they need for the jobs that need filling, David Herro, Harris Associates' CIO of international equity, says. Michael R. Bloomberg, founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, and Daniel Huttenlocher, dean of Cornell Tech, discuss the university's new campus on Roosevelt Island. Finally, Gene Munster, co-founder of Loup Ventures, says Apple is defying the laws of physics in pricing its products.

Most Americans no longer believe the American dream applies to them, Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, says. Peter Henry, the dean of NYU's Stern School of Business, says many are still enthusiastic about jobs in public service. Finally, the retention rate of Apple iPhone users is higher than any other product out there, Walter Piecyk, an analyst at BTIG, reports.

Nobel winner Joseph Stiglitz, currently an economics professor at Columbia University, says if President Trump asked, he would agree to lead the Federal Reserve. Prior to that, Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, says Trump seems bent on making enemies in Washington. Jonathan Miller, CEO of Miller Samuel, says 16 years after 9/11 lower Manhattan’s pace of gentrification has accelerated. Finally, Kurt Andersen, host of Studio 360, discusses his new book, Fantasyland: How America Went Haywire, tracing the Internet’s evolution as a launch pad for lies and what laid the groundwork for it.

Mohamed El-Erian, a columnist at Bloomberg View, says the Fed is in the midst of a "beautiful normalization" and needs a team approach. Prior to that, Chuck Gabriel, founder of Capital Alpha Partners, says President Trump's deal with Democrats will only make tax reform harder. Finally, Jeffrey Solomon, president of Cowen and Co., says the research industry is at a point where excellence wins and mediocrity is eliminated. 

Former Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser says two percent inflation target is achievable and vacancies at the Fed are the result of politicization. Gregg Lemkau, Goldman Sachs' co-head of investment banking, says the lack of predictability in the Trump administration has people pausing on deals and transactions. Finally, Atul Lele, Deltec's chief investment officer, says U.S. economic expansion has been driven mainly by private industry.

Former U.S. Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez discusses the need for more comprehensive immigration reform. Prior to that, Peter Hayes, BlackRock's head of municipal bonds, says one must believe in the long-term efficacy of a particular state when buying bonds. Finally, Kathleen Fisher, AllianceBernstein's head of wealth and investment strategies, says small banks buying even smaller ones.

North Korea's Kim Jong-Un wants the U.S. to "get off his lawn" and Americans shouldn't worry about nuclear war any time soon, says Mark Kimmitt, the former U.S. assistant secretary of state for political-military affairs. Prior to that, James Stavridis, dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says China holds North Korea's leash. Finally, Steve Bell, a senior advisor at the Bipartisan Policy Center, says there's a chance of tax cuts in early 2018.

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says this is a weak jobs report and that he sees the U.S. budget deficit increasing. Prior to that, Jim Glassman, JPMorgan's head economist for commercial banking, says economists should worry when businesses stop worrying. Gary Cohn, director of the White House National Economic Council, says a tax blueprint will be coming out in the next couple of weeks. Finally, Brian Kelly, founder of The Points Guy, says avoid flying to Houston, but if you are, ask for a "weather waiver."

Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says there won't be any gasoline from the Colonial pipelines for the next several weeks. Prior to that, Nicholas Akins, CEO of American Electric Power, says it's critical to get electrical power back up at chemical facilities in Houston. Finally, Michael Brown, an economist at Wells Fargo, says he expects Democrats to support a clean debt-ceiling bill.

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. economist, tells Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua why Morgan Stanley is revising its GDP forecast and says the economy hasn't seen the worst yet for inflation this year. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data's CEO and founder, says there's too much concern about European political risk. Jacques Rousseau, an oil and gas analyst at Clearview Energy Partners, says things may get to the point where companies borrow oil. Finally, Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital's managing partner, says the vicious cycle of borrowing to consume is re-emerging.

Ralph Schlosstein, president and CEO of Evercore Partners, says the next chair of the Federal Reserve doesn't have to be a seasoned economist. Prior to that, Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, says the U.S. will be at two percent GDP by the end of next year. Pete Sessions, a Republican representative from Texas, says President Trump must figure out where his best talents are quickly. Finally, Bruce Klingner, a former CIA deputy division chief, says China would act on North Korea if the U.S. limited their financial access.

Former FEMA Director James Lee Witt says Trump's done everything right so far on Hurricane Harvey. Prior to that, Representative Mark Walker, chairman of the Republican Study Committee, says he expects U.S. tax reform to pass before Thanksgiving. Noah Feldman, a Bloomberg View columnist, says it's clear Trump ignored all formal processes in pardoning Sheriff Joe Arpaio. Finally, former Fed Vice Chair Alice Rivlin says a government shutdown could still happen, even though she doesn't expect it.

Robert Kaplan, president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, says the economy is closer to the neutral rate than some think, and the Fed should be moving on its balance sheet. Glenn Hubbard, dean of the Columbia Business School, sees 2 percent inflation in the not-too-distant future. Finally, Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz SE's chief economic adviser, says despite the back and forth in Washington, the government's debt ceiling will be resolved.

Esther George, president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, says the Fed can start shrinking its balance sheet and that there's still an opportunity to increase rates once more. Prior to that, Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management's co-head of multi-asset investment, says leadership is not a tweet. Shannon O'Neil, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says Latin American countries have a reflex action about U.S. tough talk. Finally, Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota and a former presidential candidate, says despite Democrat opposition, a tax bill could be forced through by Republicans if they wanted.

Chuck Gabriel, president of Capital Alpha Partners, says Trump doesn't have to play a heroic role, just a less destructive one. Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., says massive tax reform is due in the U.S. Finally, Jacques Rousseau, the managing director of global oil and gas at Clearview Energy Partners, says there's a disconnect in gas consumption data.

Former U.S. Army Secretary Eric Fanning says President Trump is over-relying on military advice and that his views on Afghanistan have evolved significantly. Prior to that, Conrad Dequadros, RDQ Economics' senior economist, says there's a low chance that U.S. fiscal policy will change. Finally, Lawrence Korb, the former assistant secretary of defense, says Trump's policy on Afghanistan risks inciting terrorists.