Bloomberg Surveillance

Timothy O'Brien, executive editor at Bloomberg View and Bloomberg Gadfly, discusses last night's election results and says collusion isn't a threat to President Trump, but bribery may "bring the hen to roost." Prior to that, Axel G. Merk, president of Merk Investments, says the biggest tail-risk right now is if China retaliates with trade policy. Steven Major, HSBC's head of fixed income research, says the ECB has missed its chance to hike. Finally, Senator Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican from West Virginia, says we need to find a non-addictive pain medicine and fund more research to beat the opioid crisis. 

Thomas Edward Perez, chairman of the Democratic National Committee, discusses today's elections and says President Trump is filling the swamp with his own alligators. Prior to that, Ted Alden, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. is a reasonably low-taxed country. Ralph Northam, the lieutenant governor of the state of Virginia, says Trump has released detrimental policies in Washington. Finally, Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University, says Russia is at a weak point right now. 

Francine Lacqua sits down for a conversation with U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross following reports of Russia linked investments. Then, Michael McKee discusses NY Fed President William Dudley's recent retirement announcement. Prior to that, Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Securities' chief U.S. equity strategist, says the markets are perceiving Jay Powell as a continued Janet Yellen governance. Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, says the Republican tax bill's proposed 20 percent corporate tax rate won't survive. Finally, Mohammed Alyahya, a nonresident fellow at the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, says the issue of a Saudi corruption 'Band-Aid' is being torn off but perhaps may lead to uncertainty. 

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says it's getting much harder to generate alpha and the Fed can't raise rates much further before it hurts the economy. Prior to that, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says there's an 85 percent chance that the GOP tax proposal will go through. Finally, Joachim Fels, a global economic advisor at PIMCO, says we're stuck in the new neutral and there's no escape from the savings glut. 

Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs' senior investment portfolio strategist, says the economy is at a point of structural change and she's disappointed that Janet Yellen won't be picked again for Fed Chair. Danny Blanchflower, a professor at Dartmouth College, says the Bank of England rate raise in an already slowing economy will slow it even more. JPMorgan's John Bilton says the U.S. has a reasonable labor force growth compared to other markets. Finally, Gordon Wood, author of "Friends Divided: John Adams and Thomas Jefferson," says the U.S. really needs a multiparty political system. 

Scott Galloway, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, says it's not a question of can Big Tech become too big, but can it become too powerful. Prior to that, Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank's chief global investment strategist, says monetary policy won't be the driving force changing economic markets if Jay Powell becomes Fed Chair. Rick Mishkin, a professor at Columbia University's Business School, says Jay Powell would do a terrific job as Fed Chairman, but Janet Yellen would still be better. Finally, Austan Goolsbee, former chairman of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisors, says Congress isn't even remotely trying to get a 1986-style "comprehensive" tax reform. 

Richard Ben-Veniste, a partner at Mayer Brown and a former Watergate special prosecutor, says George Papadopoulos's indictment was a surprise and that Robert Mueller is running an efficient and appropriate investigation. Prior to that, Richard Clarida, a strategic advisor at PIMCO, says President Trump is choosing from the right group of people in the Fed Chair shortlist. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says anyone that's been in contact with Papadopoulos will be questioned by the FBI. David Herro, Harris Associates' CIO of international equity, says making Christopher Bailey an executive at Burberry was a mistake. Finally, Jeff Jarvis, a journalism professor at CUNY Graduate School, says it's too early to start government regulation of the internet. 

Mark Mobius, Templeton Emerging Markets Group's executive chairman, says China is a "planned" economy and the Communist party will step in at any moment of crisis. Prior to that, Christopher Grisanti, founder of Grisanti Capital Management, says Apple will sell a lot of $1,100 phones. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI's managing director, says the world of Washington D.C. won't stop, despite any Trump-Russia related indictments. Finally, Cass Sunstein, a Bloomberg View columnist and the author of "Impeachment: A Citizen's Guide," says the important track to follow in Mueller's indictments is the connection to the White House. 

Former Republican Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina says Democrats need to get a program and criticizing Donald Trump isn't enough. Prior to that, Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon's chief economist, says Jay Powell as a Fed Chair would be different than Jay Powell as a Fed governor. Nathan Sheets, PGIM's chief economist, says China's President Xi has set himself up for not just five years, but 10 years of rule. Paul Hanly Jr, attorney and shareholder at Simmons Hanly Conroy, says Trump's speech on the opioid epidemic was a disappointment. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research, says Twitter suffers from "shiny object syndrome." Finally, Carlyle Group Co-Founder David Rubenstein says it's important that Carlyle maintains its culture through its executive shakeup. 

Henry Kaufman, president of Kaufman & Co., says robots will replace human labor. George Friedman, chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says it doesn't matter what President Trump wants, NAFTA will ultimately be decided upon by Congress. Finally, Arthur Levitt, former SEC chair, says a single, global model for market research would be spectacular. 

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates Co-Chairman and Founder discusses his latest book, 'Principles', the future of the Fed and why the worst asset class to be in is cash.

With the final trove of records on John F. Kennedy's assassination due to be released after more than half a century, Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Bob Moon look back at a day that will be forever seared into the collective memory of the nation.

Representative Dave Brat, a Republican from Virginia, says more Americans should raise a ruckus about government spending. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump's base will continue to hang in there and as long as they do, he's inoculated. Michael Purves, Weeden & Co.'s head of equity and derivatives strategy, says you can expect the VIX to reprice if volatility continues to stay low. Finally, Wells Fargo Securities' Mike Mayo and Mike Schumacher discuss the state of banking on Wall Street and the future of the Federal Reserve.

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says the Fed Chair is an important decision that President Trump is taking very, very seriously. Prior to that, Stephen Roach, a senior fellow at Yale University, says China has operated on the same principle of contradictions since the 1980s. Craig Moffett, senior research analyst at Moffettnathanson, says the wireless industry in the U.S. is shrinking partly because of T-Mobile. Senator Cory Gardner, a Republican from Colorado, says Colorado has grown to become a great 'software' state for tech. Steven Swartz, president and CEO of Hearst, says the magazine business is tougher now but his company has been around a long time and will be around for a lot longer. Finally, Virginia Governor Terence McAuliffe says the new Virginia economy is focused on jobs that aren't always related to technology. 

John Vail, Nikko Asset Management's chief global strategist, says Japan is pessimistic about their own economy, but the markets could be in a period of a "fresh new start." Prior to that, Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank's chief international economist, says the big thing to look out for from the ECB is an end date to QE. Finally, Lupin Rahman, PIMCO's executive vice president of sovereign credit, says politics are a source of alpha within emerging markets.

Nicholas Heymann, an analyst at William Blair, says GE's John Flannery is moving at lightspeed in changing the company. Prior to that, Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners, says long rates don't look like they're headed up dramatically any time soon. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says the current administration's level of engagement with China isn't enough. Senator Chris Van Hollen, a Democrat from Maryland, says middle-class tax payers will be hit hard under President Trump's tax plan. Finally, Rich Greenfield, an analyst at BTIG, says Amazon's prepared to take football rights away from legacy media. 

Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, reacts to the recent highs in the stock market and says markets have been ridiculously overpriced lately. Prior to that, Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's global head of G-10 FX strategy, says 1987's Black Monday was extraordinary but 2008 was far worse. Finally, Saadia Madsbjerg, the managing director at the Rockefeller Foundation, says the forest fire prevention budget is under pressure. 

Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan's chief economist, says we don't have a Central Bank inflation issue at this stage, but that is looming. Representative Mark Walker, a Republican from North Carolina, says people are hurting under Obamacare, but insurance companies aren't. Finally, Enda Kenny, the former Prime Minister of Ireland, says there's no reason why Britain couldn't be a global power within the current European Union. 

Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc., tells Tom Keene and David Gura how a short seller survives during a bull market. Bill Lee, chief economist at the Milken Institute, says a John Taylor Fed chairmanship would give us more predictable framework than current Federal Open Market Committee language does. Finally, Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs magazine, says that when it comes to foreign policy, it's better to watch than listen. 

Steve Eisman, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, talks about the smaller credit default market and says banks will increase their percentage of stock buybacks. Former Oklahoma Senator Tom Coburn says the insurance market needs price discovery and transparency. Finally, Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS, says there was a split at the IMF meeting last week, with European bankers and policymakers worried and their U.S. counterparts more optimistic.