Bloomberg Surveillance

James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed should debate the meaning of a flattening yield curve. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor, says we'll see less infrastructure investment because of the tax bill. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, says we're in a bond bear market but we won't lose a lot of money. Gary Cohn, National Economic Council Director, says the economy will continue to grow and add jobs. 

John Silvia, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the European economic strength has been surprising but it will simmer down.  James Stavridis, Tufts Fletcher School Dean, says  President Trump must up his game to resolve North Korea diplomatically. Alessio de Longis, Oppenheimerfunds Portfolio Manager, says the Fed is hiking at a much more gradual pace than we've seen historically.   

Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Managing Director & Co-Head of Multi Asset, said 2018 will see higher interest rates on the long end of the curve. Former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota said the Fed can stop inflation from coming by raising rates and is worried about the Fed still raising rates. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO, said because of the tax bill, there will be a short-term increase in growth and earnings. U.S. Representative Will Hurd (R-TX) said building a concrete wall is the least effective way to build border security. 

Jack Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, said the U.S. economy needs a targeted investment. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group Founder and President, said most American companies are happy with Trump's domestic policies but not happy with his international policies. Dom Barton, McKinsey & Co. Global Managing Partner said when trade deals go wrong, it's a race to the bottom. Vint Cerf, Google Chief Internet Evangelist, said our ability to use machine learning is quite impressive and we can absorb large amounts of data. Brad Smith, Microsoft President and Chief Legal Officer, said there is a real divide between urban and rural areas and we need financial innovation back in rural areas.                       

Luigi Zingales, Chicago Booth Professor of Finance, says Ireland's success story is a result of its low tax rates attracting foreign investment. Michael Purves, Weeden And Co Chief Global Strategist, predicts tech and financials are going to continue to outperform next year. Julian Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, says we may see smaller seats on flights.

Michael Holland, Holland & Company Chairman, says the intrinsic value of a company can erode. Chris Edwards, CATO Institute Director of Tax Policy, thinks both the economy and the government will end up being winners under the GOP Tax law. Matt Brill, Invesco Advisers Senior Portfolio Manager, expects to see balance sheets expand well into 2019. 

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Portfolio Manager, says anyone appointed to the Fed should be great at communication. David Burton, Heritage Foundation’s Senior Fellow in Economic Policy, says the tax legislation is a shadow of what it should have been. Kevin Cummins, Natwest Senior Economist, says the Fed rate hike pace won't be a threat to economic activity. RJ Gallo, Federated Investors Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Duration Committee, says    tax cuts don't pay for themselves. 

Kim Schoenholtz, Stern School of Business Professor, says Bitcoin's bubble won't be worrisome for the economy if it bursts. Sharyn O'Halloran, Columbia University Professor, says simplifying and closing loopholes would have done a lot for our tax system. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, says $75 oil is a long ways off.

Jason Furman, Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, offers a Surveillance correction for Tom Keene. Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founder and Senior Research Analyst, says AT&T stock may be one of the biggest winners from tax reform.  Jerry Storch, Storch Advisors CEO and former Hudson's Bay CEO, predicts there will always be room for well-located, "A" malls. Diane Swonk, DS Economics Founder, is disappointed that instead of tax reform, we did tax cuts. 

Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Group Managing Director/Portfolio Manager, says we've lived in an environment of unusually low volatility because of the tremendous amount of global liquidity. Stan Collender, MSLGROUP National Director of Financial Communications, says the Republicans have already started politicizing the deficit. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, tells the story of the day he hired Tom Keene.  Oliver Chen, Cowen and Company Senior Analyst, says micro-trends are happening all over the retail sector.  

Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, likes the upward movement in yields but he doesn't trust it. Jon Lieber, PwC Washington National Tax Services Principal, doesn't think the Democrats will score points going after the deficit. David Miliband, International Rescue Committee President & CEO, says one of the phenomenons of globalization is people urbanizing, including refugees. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research LLC President & Founder, says the benefit of bitcoin right now is that it only has buyers. 

Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, says the U.S. is lagging in educational attainment and it's hurting productivity. Neel Kashkari, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says the Fed should be cautious about raising interest rates further until they actually see inflationary pressures building. Bill Hoagland, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Vice President, says the tax bill should be beneficial in the short term. 

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder, says we're all just speculating about where bitcoin is going. Antony Phillipson, U.K. Consul General to New York and Director General of International Trade North America, says completing phase 1 of Brexit negotiations was a big moment for the U.K. Bob Profusek, Jones Day Head of Mergers and Acquisitions, says "synergy" is often another word for job cuts when it comes to deals. Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Administration Senior Fellow, says state budgets aren't in great shape.

Bob Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Global Strategist, predicts U.S. bond yields will go higher next year. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Editor, says one of the interesting things to watch in 2018 is the Saudi-Iranian relationship. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data CEO and Founder, foresees an institutional chapter in the cryptocurrency market. Sony Kapoor, Re-Define Managing Director, says he never lost faith in the EU's ability to stay together and be resilient, even in the depths of the European crisis. 

Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says one of the biggest disappoints of the year is that wage growth hasn't accelerated. Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, predicts the unemployment rate is going to fall more rapidly than what the Fed forecasts. Steve Keen, Kingston University Economics Professor, says the major factor behind the rise in the S&P is quantitative easing. Bob Iger, The Walt Disney Company Chairman and CEO, expects scrutiny from regulatory authorities worldwide following the acquisition of 21st Century Fox assets.

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist, predicts unemployment is going into the mid-3s by the end of next year. Anthony Scaramucci, Former White House Communications Director, says there are great high-yielding assets in the hedge fund space. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments CIO, says the Alabama election is a real wake up call to the GOP. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Publisher, says the oat market has always been the canary in the coal mine of grains. 

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, says it's time to be prepared for turbulence in the equity markets. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Political Analyst, says whoever wins the Alabama election, the tax bill will still go forward. Brian Reynolds, Canaccord Genuity Asset Class Strategist, says credit cycles always end and when they do, it's badly. Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, Gemini Co-Founders, say the great thing about the bitcoin futures contract is that naysayers can now short it. 

Robert Shiller, Nobel Laureate & Yale Professor, is not sure it was a good idea to launch bitcoin futures because he thinks it's still not a reputable market. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior Vice President, says the likelihood of a government shutdown is dependent on whether or not the tax bill passes. Viraj Patel, ING FX Strategist, thinks this year was a learning point for markets.Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Chief Economist, says he would not expect bold comments from the Fed anytime soon. 

Willem Buiter, Citigroup Global Chief Economist, says he would not give the GOP tax package particularly high marks. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Economics Professor, says the opioid crisis is a result of American medical practices and the government can do more to aid it. James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says if the U.S. stays at full employment, we'll hopefully see more wealth spread to rural economies.Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, reacts to the jobs numbers and says there are a number of structural forces that keep wages down. Gary Cohn, National Council of Economic Advisors Director, says that infrastructure reform is next after they get the tax bill passed. 

Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Strategist, says there is still deep value in Europe. Omair Sharif, Societe Generale Chief U.S. Economist, does not foresee a ton of upside for healthcare next year. Jim Morris, Bloomberg News First Word Reporter, says this is the worst fire season Southern California has seen in years. Fred Lane, Lane Generational of Raymond James Managing Partner, says there is inevitably a bond bear market coming but it's not going to be that deep.